Is Cubs Interest in Pujols Genuine? – Wrigley Field 11/29/11

Posted on 29 November 2011 by Lou

Numerous reports have confirmed that the Cubs have contacted Albert Pujols’ agent regarding the big slugger.  While some Cubs fans seem overly excited about the prospects about landing the best hitter in baseball, I have a feeling that this is a HUGE ploy by Theo & Co.  Knowing how the Cubs have been hampered by Alfonso Soriano’s 8-year deal and knowing how Theo & Co. rarely enter into a bad “long-term” deal (the 7-year, $142 million Carl Crawford notwithstanding), the Cubs won’t make this deal.  You heard it hear first.  8, 9, 10 years for a 32-year old 1st baseman entering the twilight of his career?  What happens in Year 6, when Albert Pujols enters the year at 37 years of age and you still owe him a whopping $25-30 million a year for 5 more years?!  That’s exactly what we’ve been doing with Soriano for the last 2 years and we still have 3 more years left on his deal.  Now sure, Pujols is MUCH MORE productive than Soriano, but it still does not justify mortgaging the club again when we’re so close to getting out from the Soriano deal in another year or two.

So why are the rumors spreading about the Cubs making a play for Pujols?  There are several reasons:

1.  It drives the price up on the Pujols sweepstakes, maybe knocking him out of the Cardinals price range and sending him to the NL East Marlins or Nationals or the American League with the Texas Rangers or Anaheim Angels.  That weakens the Cardinals big time with a move like that.

2.  With the Yankees (Mark Teixeira) and Red Sox (Adrian Gonzalez) “probably” out of the mix for Pujols or Prince Fielder (you can never say never with either team however), it is plausible that the Cubs could land either player for a “steal of a deal” without the 2 highest payroll teams driving up the price further.  So it is “conceivable” that the Cubs would make a play for Pujols.

3. It also hides your cards if your real intent is to go hard for the younger (Fielder is only 27 years old) 1st baseman.  Epstein and Fielder’s agent Scott Boras have been known to get deals done and what better way to swoop in and make him an offer he can’t refuse than to let everybody think you’re going after Pujols.  New skipper Dale Sveum was Fielder’s hitting coach in Milwaukee and the 2 have a good working relationship.  With tons of money coming off of the books the next year, Theo & Co. can also make a commitment to Fielder that in addition to building from within, the Cubs will also have much more flexibility to add pieces from the outside through free agency after the 2012 season.  With Theo & Co.’s track record, Fielder has to be reassured that the Cubs will be competitive just about every season once they get things settled.

Maybe I’m just hoping for the best-case ideal scenario – a 1-2-3 combo of Brett Jackson, Starlin Castro and Fielder as the future of a potent offensive lineup – but don’t surprised if Theo & Co. pull off this miracle signing within the next week.  Imagine the buzz on the north side then…

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