Archive | December, 2015

Cubs Land Heyward and Amplify Expectations for 2016

Posted on 11 December 2015 by Bob

The Cubs reeled in a very big fish today; one that will definitely rock the boat, and also send a ripple effect throughout the entire pond. Jason Heyward is a Chicago Cub, and the rest of the league may be left wondering if they “need a bigger boat”.

Heyward a Cubs

Make no mistake about it, this acquisition is monumental from both a symbolic and a material perspective. The Cubs have acquired arguably the Cardinals’ best player, bolstering Chicago’s lineup and defense while subtracting from their main rival. His impact will be immediate both in his plate discipline and his superb fielding skills but this is not just about his physical presence but also what his signing symbolizes for the Chicago Cubs and the league at large.

In bright and bold lettering: THE CUBS ARE BACK. Relegated to laughing stock status for the better part of the last decade (and vast swaths of the previous century), these Cubs are officially the team to beat heading into the 2016 season. Sure, that’s just on paper but given the team’s success last year breaking in a mostly young group under a new manager, it’s hard not to dream big with this club’s expectations next year. Theo Epstein and Co., to their great credit, delivered on their promise of building a contender and in a relatively short time frame. It wasn’t always pretty, easily apparent, or popular but this management group laid an incredibly strong foundation and are now reaping the benefits their prowess and discipline have sown.

Committing $184 million over eight years to one player is the type of move that puts other teams on notice. They are a big-time contender who is “All-In” in 2016. The fever pitch will reach crescendo this impending spring and with it will come the expectations that all highly-touted teams are saddled with. They will be heavy and tangible and it will be up to Joe Maddon and his veterans to guide these sophomores through pressures never felt to heights never seen.

It’s hard to articulate just how truly epic signing Jason Heyward is. You cannot truly appreciate what signing a player to this type of deal is like until you crawl through the mud and muck that was the Cubs from 2010-2014. Never making the big splash. Trading off your assets for prospects. Repeatedly finishing last in your division. Entire seasons over by the end of July.  A 100 loss season.  All of that makes this day that much sweeter. The excitement on twitter today is proof of just how important today was to the two primary fan bases affected. For the Cardinals, it was complete dejectedness with some bitterness and embarrassing sour grapes thrown in. For the Cubs, it was unbridled elation; the future foretold of in 2010 has finally arrived.

Cubs beat cards

It’s not just Jason Heyward, but man, is he a BIG piece. He boasts a career .268/.353/.431 slash line and will most likely begin his Cubs career in CF, although that could change pending on whether or not Jorge Soler is moved for starting pitching.  Heyward also ranks 5th in WAR (12.7)  by position players over the last two seasons. His defense is excellent, saving 122 runs since the start of the 2010 season, the most in baseball during that time frame. He is also 26 meaning he is just entering his prime. All this adds up to a home run for the Cubs even though Heyward is not known for his long ball. It’s being reported that he turned down more money from the Cards and Nats to play in Chicago, showing that you really can’t put a price on how valuable Theo, Maddon, and Ricketts have been in turning this team around. Free agents want to come here, young players want to stay here, and fans should turn out in droves to cheer this squad on.

Signing a Jason Heyward is a marquee acquisition but add in Ben Zobrist, John Lackey, and Adam Warren and the Cubs are clearly winning this off-season. They also may not be done as many sources say they are still looking to make a deal for another starter with the Padres’ Tyson Ross, the Indian’s Carlos Carrasco, and several Tampa Bay Rays out there as possibilities.

This team will have a huge target on their back as the calendar turns and hopefully they can embrace the challenge and are careful not to let the “pressure exceed the pleasure”. Good times loom ahead on the North Side as winter hasn’t felt this warm in years.

GO CUBS GO!

 

 

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Cubs Land Zobrist; Trade Castro to Yankees for Warren

Posted on 09 December 2015 by Bob

After a long Tuesday filled with rumors of signings and trades, a big one finally came to fruition for the Chicago Cubs who were able to land the highly coveted Ben Zobrist for $56 million over four years.  Zobrist had been courted hard by the Mets who saw him as an important piece to stabilizing their infield but the Cubs, who failed to beat the Mets on the field in the NLCS, were able to best their National League competitors with not only a solid offer but also closer proximity to Zobrist’s off-season home in Nashville, TN and the chance to be reunited with Joe Maddon who managed him in Tampa Bay for the majority of his career.

Ben-Zobrist

This was a huge coup for the Cubs who seemingly came out of nowhere to steal Zobrist from the Mets, Nationals, and Giants who allegedly offered the free agent more money but not enough of the intangibles that the Cubs did.  Zobrist, who has been known in the past as super-utility man and bench weapon, will assume the starting second basemen duties recently vacated by Starlin Castro.  Zobrist has a career .265 batting average and figures to slot somewhere near the top of the Cubs lineup, possibly even lead off. His presence alone should help cut down on the Cubs strikeouts next season and one can only hope his discipline is contagious. There is some concern given his age (34) and the fact that he has a no trade clause through the first 3 years of the contract but the Cubs are betting that his impact these first 2-3 years will far outweigh any drop off he suffers by age 38.

This was an outstanding move by the Cubs and gives them another veteran presence to guide these youngsters through their “sophomore” year. He is also a proven winner having been a major contributor on the World Series Champion Kansas City Royals last year after coming over at the deadline from Oakland.

“Ben is a winning baseball player,” Theo Epstein said. “His offense, his defense, his baserunning. He’s been one of the more valuable players in the game for a long time.”

Maddon has to be overjoyed at the versatility Zobrist brings to this roster being capable of playing multiple positions infield and outfield, as well his ability to lead off and get on base. Combine that with Javy Baez’ flexibility and the Cubs have a plethora of situational substitutions that should prove to be a great advantage day in and day out over the course of the season and the variety of match-ups they will face.

Starlin castro

In acquiring Zobrist it became clear that someone had to be moved given the cluster of infielders on the roster. The math just didn’t add up and Epstein found a suitable trade partner for the longest-tenured Cub on the team, Starlin Castro. Yes, it was sad to see Castro go given his desire to play for the Cubs and his strong finish last year but the math just didn’t add up. Castro may have never fully realized his potential in Chicago and with so many options, his skill set became expendable. His rebound after being benched and moved to second base did allow him to bring some pretty decent talent back in the form of pitcher Adam Warren and second basemen Brendan Ryan from the Yankees. This may seem paltry given what Castro was projected to do in his career but realistically it is just about right. Warren is no slouch going 7 – 7 last year with a 3.29 ERA splitting time as a starter and in the bullpen. He provides great depth for the Cubs as a possible #5 starter or “long” man out of the bullpen. This is precisely what the Cubs need given their shortcomings in the NLCS this past year. With Lackey also in the fold, Hendricks and Hammel get bumped back a spot and possibly into competition with Warren for the #5 starter position. Competition and depth are two great things to have.

So while Castro could return to All-Star form in New York, the Cubs essentially got Zobrist and Warren for the price of his salary which is not a bad return at all. It clearly signals that 2016 is an “All-In” year with the Cubs aggressively tackling their deficiencies to reach the next level. Castro’s contributions through the lean years and positive clubhouse presence will truly be missed and he deserves a curtain call for his accomplishments these past six years in Chicago but the future is now on the North Side and the Cubs cannot afford to be sentimental with the stakes raised to staggering heights this year.

So a big day for the Cubs and it sounds like they may not be done. No, this move does not preclude them from signing Jason Heyward but the math on that will have to be incredibly creative. Still, no one really saw Zobrist coming so it’s safe to say that no one really knows what Theo is capable of. This ain’t over by a long shot but Cubs fans have to be happy with the early returns. They are acting like a big market contender for the first time in years and for the fans it has to feel like Christmas cam early. They have also been able to hold on to the majority of their young talent so far while continuing to better their roster. They have done all this without sacrificing the future.

Stay Tuned…

Go Cubs Go!

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Free Agency Musings, Cubs Make Lackey Official, & Where Will Heyward land?

Posted on 08 December 2015 by Bob

The Winter Meetings have commenced and twitter is abuzz with transactions, musings, and flat-out fiction. It’s silly season in Major League Baseball and man, is it fun! There is a palpable sense of excitement from almost every fan base (save a few) as teams tinker with how to build their team for the 2016 season and the internet is flush with the wishes, dreams, and speculations of every kind. Talk of “mystery teams” and “cooling periods”, “untouchables” and “dominoes falling” is enough to make your head spin. Today, we will dig in on the happenings from a Cubs perspective as much as we can. There is a lot of stuff flying around out there and a move could be imminent per several sources close to the team.

First things first, the Cubs made their signing of John Lackey official today at two years and $32 million. Although he comes at the price of a draft pick, this was a shrewd move that adds a quality starter for 2016 without tying up big money long term. If the Cubs do make a big splash on a guy like Jason Heyward in the coming weeks, this was the deal that provided the flexibility  to do it. So all around, a pretty good deal for the Cubs. The fact that he was taken from the Cardinals is just the icing on the cake. Now, your top three starters project as Arrieta, Lester, and Lackey. That’s a pretty great jumping off point.

Jason heyward

So now, Jason Heyward, the big fish that the Cubs would be thrilled to land. Not only would this weaken the Cardinals as well but it would dramatically improve the Cubs with the needs of lead-off man and plus-defender in center field filled. Heyward is young (just 26) and is rumored to be seeking a 10 year deal. As of this moment, there appears to be nothing official but “Cubs” and “Heyward” keep popping up in conjunction with one another causing many talking heads to speculate that Chicago may be the front-runner and making the hardest push to sign the prized free-agent. We’re on the edge of our seats as this would be a colossal move (if the Cubs were able to pull it off) that would have a ripple effect on not only the Cubs’ moves from here on but throughout the league as well.

Another notable target linked to the Cubs has been the Braves’ Shelby Miller. Miller, while not a free agent, is a solid young starting pitcher that would expand the Cubs depth even further but would come at the cost of  a Javy Baez or Jorge Soler, possibly more. Sources say that this potential deal has cooled considerably today as Atlanta’s asking price is said to be too high (Think guys on the Bryant, Schwarber level). We can’t rule anything out at this point but this one looks unlikely at this point.

Trevor Cahill

Trevor Cahill is also reported to be signing a one year deal worth $4.25 million. Cahill had a nice second half with the Cubs and could potentially be stretched into a starter’s role much like Travis Wood if/when needed but will mainly be used to fortify the bullpen as he did these past few months.

Today started with a great deal of buzz but it’s almost 5:00PM CST and no major deals to report for right now. Who knows what tomorrow will bring? Hopefully it’s Heyward with a bow on top as an early Christmas present!

Let’s Go Cubs!

 

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With Price and Zimmermann Off the Table, Where Do Cubs Go From Here?

Posted on 03 December 2015 by Bob

Well the off-season is officially under way as Jordan Zimmermann and David Price both locked up long-term, high-dollar contracts with the Tigers and Red Sox, respectively. While many had Chicago pegged as Price’s destination, the Red Sox made sure they got their man by blowing all other clubs away with their offer of $217 million over seven years and most likely overpaying in the process. But, that is what you do when your club lacks a clear #1 starter and ended last year in the basement of a highly competitive division; two problems which the Cubs do not have.

Their fall back, Zimmermann, was essentially the first of the tier-1 free agents off the board with his deal becoming of a pitcher with a 3.32 ERA over the last seven seasons and who has been a top-ten pitcher in N.L. over that time. So the Cubs missed out, or rather chose not to throw gobs of money at these two free agents who would certainly have been welcome additions to an already promising club. That’s OK. The Cubs didn’t need to over pay and tie up money that could be used elsewhere; cash that can be applied a bit more thoughtfully to help flesh out next year’s team. There is more than one way to go about acquiring starting pitching and a new center fielder. There will still be free agent acquisitions but now trades have also become a possibility as well. The Padres’ Tyson Ross and Atlanta’s Shelby Miller come to mind as two young pitchers who would be worth exploring as options.

question-marks-11

So where do the Cubs go from here?

A lot of signs point to the Cubs going hard after Cardinals free agent right fielder, Jason Heyward. He’s only 26 and while he would command a hefty price tag, wouldn’t you rather spend big on an excellent, YOUNG, defensive outfielder with a pretty good bat than a pitcher on the wrong side of 30? I am all for this, someone to get on base ahead of the nuclear power behind him in Bryant, Rizzo, Schwarber etc. Spending on Heyward may mean picking up a few cheaper options as back end starters but isn’t that what the Cubs need anyways? We have our top two in Arrieta and Lester, it’s the depth that needs help. Acquiring a guy like John lackey makes a ton of sense on a good deal, and the same goes for Jeff Samardzija, although from the sound of things, he thinks he won’t be all that cheap.

Jason heyward

There is still a lot action left; moves to be made, dominoes to fall, but my estimation is that losing out on Price and Zimmerman may be a blessing in disguise. They didn’t go to division rivals or even stay in the same league and the Cubs didn’t break the bank and hamstring themselves. Money will be at a premium in coming years as our young talent grows and it is imperative to continue making the smart moves, rather than the flashy ones. Now, the Cubs can spend some of that money on pieces that make more sense and hopefully enable us to keep some of the depth and redundancy we have in our infield.

Samardzija

Stay Tuned…The trickle of moves could become a stream in the next few weeks.

Let’s Go Cubs!

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